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" I often tend to think that things are not what they seem. "
Robert J. Shiller
Things
Seem
Often
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" Fear causes individuals to restrain their spending and firms to withhold investments; as a result, the economy weakens, confirming their fear and leading them to restrain spending further. The downturn deepens, and a vicious circle of despair takes hold. "
Robert J. Shiller
Result
Circle
Fear
" This is an anxiety driven world - the whole world is driven by anxiety. It is anxiety about the aftermath of the global financial crisis; it's anxiety about inequality and about computers replacing jobs. "
Robert J. Shiller
World
Anxiety
Computers
" Some of the best theorizing comes after collecting data because then you become aware of another reality. "
Robert J. Shiller
You
Become
Best
" I think we do need to try to not just rely on the central bank to, in its wisdom, adjust interest rates, but allow for people to avoid being exposed to inflation risk. "
Robert J. Shiller
Need
People
Risk
" In a bubble, eventually people start saying, 'Wait a minute... these prices are way too high! What is anyone buying anymore? What could they possibly be thinking?' And then there's a correction and a bursting. "
Robert J. Shiller
People
Wait
Thinking
" If I was counselling an individual, and my purpose was to help that individual, the most important thing would be that you should save more. Because don't expect that your retirement will follow those trajectories that some advisers are telling you. "
Robert J. Shiller
Follow
Purpose
Retirement
" One should have a wide variety of assets in one's portfolio. And oil, by the way, is a particularly important asset to have in one's portfolio because we need it, and the economy thrives on it. "
Robert J. Shiller
Economy
Way
Oil
" Even today, I am easily distracted by reading material and will pick up articles on virtually any factual material if I have the time. "
Robert J. Shiller
Up
Will
I Am
" I want to know diverse facts about such things as galaxies or molecules or proteins or insect species. I have an impulse to want to know the little details, which are usually of no significance to non-specialists. I own a dissection microscope, and if there is an insect in the house, I sometimes catch it and look at it under the microscope. "
Robert J. Shiller
Facts
Want
Look
" In my first few years of elementary school at the Edison School in Detroit, I did poorly. I remember worrying that I might fail the second grade and be held back. "
Robert J. Shiller
School
Fail
Detroit
" A lot of people aren't saving enough. And incidentally, people are living longer now, and health care is improving. You might end up retired for 30 years - people are not really preparing for that. "
Robert J. Shiller
Care
End
Health
" There's so much disagreement about investing, and it's because nobody really knows. "
Robert J. Shiller
Investing
Nobody
Because
" Critics of 'economic sciences' sometimes refer to the development of a 'pseudoscience' of economics, arguing that it uses the trappings of science, like dense mathematics, but only for show. "
Robert J. Shiller
Economics
Mathematics
Science
" Somehow, talking to young students brings you back to reality - it should, anyway. "
Robert J. Shiller
Talking
Reality
Back
" Finance is not merely about making money. It's about achieving our deep goals and protecting the fruits of our labor. It's about stewardship and, therefore, about achieving the good society. "
Robert J. Shiller
Finance
Goals
Good
" Yes, horoscopes still persist in popular newspapers, but they are there only for the severely scientifically challenged, or for entertainment; the idea that the stars determine our fate has lost all intellectual currency. "
Robert J. Shiller
Stars
Lost
Intellectual
" We should not be focusing on quick solutions. The really important concern for policymakers everywhere is to prevent disasters - that is, the outlier events that matter the most. "
Robert J. Shiller
Quick
Important
Most
" Speculative markets have always been vulnerable to illusion. But seeing the folly in markets provides no clear advantage in forecasting outcomes, because changes in the force of the illusion are difficult to predict. "
Robert J. Shiller
Changes
Always
Seeing
" This is the paradox of thrift: belt-tightening causes people to lose their jobs, because other people are not buying what they produce, so their debt burden rises rather than falls. "
Robert J. Shiller
Burden
People
Paradox
" A moderate tax on robots, even a temporary tax that merely slows the adoption of disruptive technology, seems a natural component of a policy to address rising inequality. Revenue could be targeted toward wage insurance, to help people replaced by new technology make the transition to a different career. "
Robert J. Shiller
People
Inequality
Help
" As a child, I was fascinated by any branch of physical or biological science. Even today, I find great excitement in discovering the complexity and variability of the world we live in, getting a glimpse into the deeper reality that we mostly ignore in our everyday human activities. "
Robert J. Shiller
Find
Great
Child
" We judge economics by what it can produce. As such, economics is rather more like engineering than physics: more practical than spiritual. "
Robert J. Shiller
Judge
Spiritual
Engineering
" That's the world we live in: when it comes to economics, people have emotions; it's not like chemistry or physics. "
Robert J. Shiller
Economics
World
People
" Since the global financial crisis and recession of 2007-2009, criticism of the economics profession has intensified. The failure of all but a few professional economists to forecast the episode - the aftereffects of which still linger - has led many to question whether the economics profession contributes anything significant to society. "
Robert J. Shiller
Failure
Society
Financial
" The desperately poor may accept handouts, because they feel they have to. For those who consider themselves at least middle class, however, anything that smacks of a handout is not desired. Instead, they want their economic power back. "
Robert J. Shiller
Power
Want
Class
" People who stay unemployed for a long time start to look like damaged goods, and they don't get such good offers. Also, they're not learning anything. Most learning is on-the-job learning. "
Robert J. Shiller
People
Start
Time
" I didn't vote for Trump. So we've got him. Let's hope for the best. He might do something good. "
Robert J. Shiller
Best
Him
Good
" Fifty years ago or a hundred years ago, generally, most people would buy a house the way you buy a car. When you buy a car, do you think, 'I better buy this year rather than next year because car prices might go up?' "
Robert J. Shiller
House
You
Think
" When I see the Trump supporters on television explaining themselves, I don't get a feeling of supreme confidence. They've created a revolution, and now maybe they're a little scared by it. "
Robert J. Shiller
See
Revolution
Feeling
" Those on the downside of rising economic inequality generally do not want government policies that look like handouts. They typically do not want the government to make the tax system more progressive, to impose punishing taxes on the rich, in order to give the money to them. Redistribution feels demeaning. It feels like being labeled a failure. "
Robert J. Shiller
Government
Rich
Look