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" The consequences of overestimating a company and your ability to analyse it are greatly diminished when you're paying a lot less for it than your analysis shows it is worth. "
Whitney Tilson
Consequences
Worth
You
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" When reviewing one's portfolio, it is important to be aware of common mental mistakes that may lead to bad decisions. The most powerful is commitment bias, which, as manifested in investing, is the tendency to fall in love with one's stocks. "
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" Because I'm a very public figure, everybody knows what my returns are. "
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" While there's always plenty of room for improvement, our government is actually quite effective and efficient. Our military and judicial systems and national parks are the best in the world. Unlike in countries where government corruption is rampant, I've never once been solicited for a bribe. "
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" In life, an abundance of confidence gives us higher motivation, persistence, and optimism and can allow us to accomplish things we otherwise might not have undertaken. "
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" One of the best places to look for value is what I call 'babies thrown out with the bathwater' - in other words, scour the most out-of-favour sectors for good companies whose stocks have been crushed due to overblown concerns about the industry that do not, in fact, have an impact on the company. "
Whitney Tilson
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" The mark of a wise person isn't never making mistakes - everyone makes plenty of them. Rather, it's the ability to quickly admit - and fix - them! "
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" Small-company stocks, like any asset class, can get picked over from time to time, but there are fundamental reasons why diligently mining them with an eye for unrecognised value can get market-beating returns. "
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" Pence is far too conservative for me, but by all accounts, he's an intelligent, experienced, decent man with no skeletons in his closet. "
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Intelligent
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" Parents are, of course, most important in shaping their children's lives, but teachers are critically important as well. Who among us doesn't look back on a few great teachers who inspired us, opened up new worlds, and helped make us who we are? "
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" Without doubt, timely and democratic access to financial and market information contributes to smoothly functioning financial markets. "
Whitney Tilson
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Information
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" The potential rewards of small-cap investing do not come without risk. "
Whitney Tilson
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" There's a real company in Facebook and then a lot of pretenders riding their coat tails. "
Whitney Tilson
Riding
Real
Facebook
" Wall Street, in the main, hates uncertainty, which manifests itself in depressed share prices of companies whose prospects lack 'visibility.' But where the market can err is in confusing uncertainty with risk. "
Whitney Tilson
Risk
Uncertainty
Confusing
" One can't be a successful investor without a healthy dose of confidence. To commit your own and others' hard-earned capital requires conviction, and conviction requires confidence. But as with fine brandy or coffee ice cream, too much of a good thing can be problematic. "
Whitney Tilson
Confidence
Coffee
Good
" The key thing when you short is to make sure you're not wrong on the fundamental intrinsic value. "
Whitney Tilson
Value
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" We like to say we pray in the church of Graham, Dodd, Buffett, and Munger. "
Whitney Tilson
Say
Pray
Church
" Mueller is the leading North American provider of water infrastructure and flow control products - things such as fire hydrants, valves, pipes, fittings, and couplings. While this is no doubt a mundane business, it is also an excellent one. "
Whitney Tilson
American
Fire
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" There is no sure-fire way to get rich quickly. In fact, the pursuit of that usually leads to ruin. "
Whitney Tilson
Way
Fact
Get
" My advice to most people is don't short stocks. It's a very, very difficult business. And you can really get clobbered. "
Whitney Tilson
Short
Business
Advice
" While everyone would love to have that perfect portfolio of stocks that can be bought and held forever, it usually does not work out that way. Markets, technology, and businesses change too quickly to put portfolios on autopilot. "
Whitney Tilson
Love
Work
Technology
" I have never believed that large-cap stocks are too well followed to be anything but efficiently priced. "
Whitney Tilson
Anything
Too
Well
" No one would suggest completely ignoring news about your investments. Enron investors, for example, would have been well served to sell once early reports of accounting irregularities surfaced. But the key is to keep news in context and act only if further reflection or study indicates that the core thesis for an investment has changed. "
Whitney Tilson
Key
News
Accounting
" I am part of the 1 percent of the 1 percent. By that, I mean that I am fortunate to be a wealthy American, and I say, 'It's okay to raise my taxes.' "
Whitney Tilson
I Am
American
Mean
" Humans are hard-wired to be irrational when it comes to financial decisions. We must understand that so we don't become the sucker at the poker table. "
Whitney Tilson
Understand
Table
Decisions
" If I bring to light a company that's poisoning customers, defrauding investors, or something like that... there just aren't enough regulators in the world to keep up with all of the fraud and malfeasance that goes on out there, particularly in the little nooks and crannies of the market. "
Whitney Tilson
Company
World
Up
" Just because a company's future is highly uncertain doesn't mean an investment in it is risky. In fact, some of the best potential investments are highly uncertain but have little risk of permanent capital loss. "
Whitney Tilson
Potential
Risk
Best
" If you look at the history of technology gadget makers, hardware makers, it's littered with the corpses of Palm and RIM and companies like that. "
Whitney Tilson
Technology
Palm
You
" While I take no pleasure in others' misfortunes, we've historically made most of our profits from other investors behaving in a panicked and irrational fashion and selling us certain stocks at prices far below their intrinsic value. More volatility equals cheaper stocks, which equals higher returns. "
Whitney Tilson
Fashion
Selling
Value
" It's difficult to fix a truly broken business, but when it happens, the returns can be extraordinary. "
Whitney Tilson
Fix
Truly
Broken
" Most chief executives rise to that position by being good operating managers. Few have extensive experience or training with capital allocation. What CEO wants to return excess cash to shareholders when it could be used to expand his or her empire? "
Whitney Tilson
Cash
Experience
Good