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" When it comes to assessing the chances of some complicated combination of events, gut feelings are pretty much useless. "
Richard Thaler
Useless
Events
Feelings
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" My thesis topic was 'The value of a human life.' I asked people a question: 'Suppose you had some risk, a one in a thousand risk of dying - how much would you pay to eliminate it?' "
Richard Thaler
People
Life
Dying
" It's essential that we understand things like the free-rider problem, but we also need to understand that, fortunately, humans are a little nicer than economists give them credit for. Some people actually leave money at roadside fruit stands; some people give money to NPR so we can listen to it. "
Richard Thaler
Problem
People
Fruit
" Tax cuts are one of many ways to stimulate the economy. Building infrastructure, for example, is another. "
Richard Thaler
Ways
Tax
Economy
" Coining a term is not the same as creating a field! "
Richard Thaler
Term
Creating
Field
" God did not say that you should be able to borrow one hundred percent of the price of a house. "
Richard Thaler
Percent
You
God
" Morality aside, there are other factors deterring 'strategic defaults,' whether in recourse or nonrecourse states. These include the economic and emotional costs of giving up one's home and moving, the perceived social stigma of defaulting, and a serious hit to a borrower's credit rating. "
Richard Thaler
Moving
Home
Giving Up
" I try to teach people to make fewer mistakes. But in designing economic policies, we need to take full account of the fact that people are busy, they're absent minded, they're lazy, and that we should try to make things as easy for them as possible. "
Richard Thaler
Need
People
Mistakes
" It is true that I am one of the co-authors of 'Nudge,' and I am a behavioral economist, but it does not mean that everything we write about in that book is behavioral economics, nor does it mean that my co-author, the distinguished legal scholar Cass Sunstein, is a behavioral economist. "
Richard Thaler
Book
Economics
True
" Pundits are no better at forecasting election outcomes than they would be at predicting the final path of a hurricane. Smart pundits should consider either abandoning this activity or consulting with the geeks before rendering their guesses. "
Richard Thaler
Path
Smart
Hurricane
" The more we turn down questionable offers like trip insurance and scrutinize 'one month' trials, the less incentive companies will have to use such schemes. "
Richard Thaler
Trials
Turn
Down
" People are less likely to think it's immoral to walk away from their home if they know others who have done so. And if enough people do it, the stigma begins to erode. "
Richard Thaler
Know
Home
Enough
" There's a reason why start-ups, especially disruptive start-ups - like Google or Amazon or Uber - are full of young people. That's because young people are not as wedded to the old fashioned ways of doing things. "
Richard Thaler
Doing
Young
Reason
" I am all for trying to teach household finance in schools, starting as early as possible. And when it comes to high school, I think learning about compound interest is at least as important as trigonometry or memorizing the names of all 50 state capitals. "
Richard Thaler
Learning
School
Think
" The good thing I will say about the Chicago School is that it was always about the world, not about the abstract. "
Richard Thaler
Say
Good
Chicago
" We should at least make sure that patients are given the opportunity to opt out of spending their final days in a hospital, hooked up to tubes and running up enormous bills. "
Richard Thaler
Days
Hospital
Opportunity
" Economists discount any factors that would not influence the thinking of a rational person. "
Richard Thaler
Person
Influence
Thinking
" In the world of traditional economics, it shouldn't matter whether you use an opt-in or opt-out system. So long as the costs of registering as a donor or a nondonor are low, the results should be similar. But many findings of behavioral economics show that tiny disparities in such rules can make a big difference. "
Richard Thaler
World
Economics
You
" Sunk costs? We pay too much attention to them. "
Richard Thaler
Much
Costs
Attention
" One reason for high health care costs is that patients fail to follow their treatment regimen. "
Richard Thaler
Reason
Follow
Fail
" If the government can manage to collect and release personal information in a secure and useful way, so can private companies, which will empower consumers to become better shoppers. "
Richard Thaler
Empower
Better
Information
" Academia does not provide many opportunities for immediate gratification. You work for two years on a project, it takes two more years to get it published, and then you start hoping someone might read it. "
Richard Thaler
Someone
You
Opportunities
" Leaders are important but not omnipotent. "
Richard Thaler
Leaders
Omnipotent
Important
" Tort reform is a complicated subject and not a panacea. "
Richard Thaler
Reform
Subject
Panacea
" The lesson for businesses is you are dealing with real people. Those are your customers, those are your employees, those are your bosses, and the better you understand how real people tick, the more successfully you will be able to accomplish your goals. "
Richard Thaler
Employees
You
People
" People make just as many mistakes when the stakes go up, maybe more. "
Richard Thaler
Just
Go
Mistakes
" We behavioralists differ from our more traditional brethren in the way we characterize agents in the economy. "
Richard Thaler
Our
Economy
Way
" It's hard to have any idea of how much money is enough to finance an appropriate lifestyle in retirement. But if a lump sum is translated into a monthly income, it's much easier to determine whether you have enough put away to afford to stop working. "
Richard Thaler
Money
You
Enough
" If you're trading individual securities, you're almost certainly making a mistake. Because most professional managers can't outperform their benchmarks, and there's little reason to think that individuals can. "
Richard Thaler
You
Professional
Think
" In some ways, the finding that financial education doesn't provide long-term payoffs is hardly surprising. After all, how much do you remember from your high school chemistry class? Unless you use chemistry at work, you probably don't recall much about ionic bonding. "
Richard Thaler
Education
Financial
Work
" Everyone knows it's dangerous to ingest gasoline or to inhale its fumes. But I am starting to believe that merely thinking about the price of gasoline can damage cognitive processing. "
Richard Thaler
Thinking
I Am
Dangerous