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" Because of the rate of technology change, forecast horizons are shrinking. "
Steve Jurvetson
Because
Technology
Forecast
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" Elon Musk wins you over with his elegant mastery of engineering, be it for the rocket or the car. But what blew my socks off was when our conversation veered way off topic. We started musing about whether it was possible we all lived in the matrix, and Musk still had deep knowledge. "
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" If I want to make a product that is appealing to consumers, like a piece of clothing or a video game, that's fad driven. Some companies do it, and I don't know how they do it, but it's generally a bad place to invest. "
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" There is no correlation between a weak IPO market and an impact on early-stage VCs. "
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" As a geek, I take umbrage at the notion that chips are not sexy. But yes, robots, drones, satellites and self-driving cars are the kinds of things that excite me. "
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" Technology business increasingly becomes difficult to predict because technology itself is accelerating in change, and human nature and markets are more stagnant and static. But the dynamic engine of technological innovation continues unabated. "
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" Beyond self-driving cars, I think all airplanes should go pilotless. Get the pilots out of there. Even better, have no cockpit at all, and turn it into a nice lounge with a bar. Why give people the illusion of control with a steering wheel? "
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" We definitely stand behind Theranos in the sense of, we are an investor, and we want them to succeed. "
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" Truly original thinkers tend not to be entrepreneurs who've spent 10 years at Cisco and can be trusted to know what they're doing. They tend to be 26 years old and highflying. They often have a very childlike mind, with some naivete. "
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" Elon Musk is an incredible leader and entrepreneur. I have known him since 1995 when he first came to Silicon Valley. "
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" There was a time and a place when a pure content start-up had a chance, and that time has passed. "
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" When a nanotech company matures and becomes a real business, it becomes something else. It becomes a biotech company or a cleantech company or a memory chip company. Nanotechnology has fueled the core innovations in electronics and energy. "
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" If you thought financial crises came and went, just count on them - another economic collapse, it's almost going to be like not news any more. But for startups this is great, because it's a perpetual driver of disruption. "
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" I've always been a fan of space exploration, and I filled our entire office with space artifacts. "
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" When you lower the cost of access to space, a boom of innovation follows, just as low-cost fiber optics paved the way for the Internet and the cloud services that followed. "
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" SpaceX is very unusual. I don't know of any other startup where the founder put in $100 million of his own money before looking for any outside capital. They have wildly exceeded any reasonable expectations. "
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" The concept of a 'job' is pretty recent. If you go back a few hundred years, everyone was either a slave or a serf, or living off slave or serf labor to pursue science or philosophy or art. "
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" I don't want to be a driving machine on my daily commute; I want to be driven by a machine. "
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" I believe that technology has the potential to change the fate of nations, industries and companies, as well as the context of our lives. I want to help build the companies that take the risks needed to make those kinds of real changes in the world. "
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" Statistical physics or Newtonian physics gives way to quantum physics. Very unusual properties of matter emerge at that scale, and you can think about building products in a very different way. You can think about interfacing to biology in a very different way. "
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" The future will be less predictable, forecast rises will shrink, company lifetimes will shrink, new entrants will proliferate and it's going to just get more unpredictable. "
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" Personally, I do not look at IPOs for an exit. "
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" Every new industry has exuberance in advance of reality. The techies get carried away. There is a period of despair. Then the pendulum swings the other way, and people see the long term potential. It's like when the Internet bubble crashed. "
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" Steve Jobs now rests with the sublime satisfaction of symbolic immortality. "
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Jobs
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" Something new will always be the source of growth in Silicon Valley. "
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" Putting seven people in orbit should not cost more than flying a commercial jet around Earth. "
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