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" Trump has never been clear and consistent about what he will do as president. "
Robert J. Shiller
Never
Been
Clear
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" One thing I've noticed about history - you can search on newspapers going back hundreds of years, search for 'economic forecast,' you don't find it. It would be very rare to find it. "
Robert J. Shiller
Going
You
Search
" There's so much disagreement about investing, and it's because nobody really knows. "
Robert J. Shiller
Investing
Nobody
Because
" If we wait until income inequality is much more severe, we will have a whole class of new superrich who will probably feel entitled to their wealth and will have the means to defend their interest. That's already gone far enough. We shouldn't let it become more extreme. "
Robert J. Shiller
Enough
Feel
Wealth
" My very first publication was an estimator - this was a statistical procedure - a kind of invention. My father got a patent and started a business; it wasn't successful, but maybe I have some of him in me. "
Robert J. Shiller
Successful
Me
Kind
" Some of the best theorizing comes after collecting data because then you become aware of another reality. "
Robert J. Shiller
You
Become
Best
" People aren't as impressed by homes anymore after they saw how they collapsed in price with the financial crisis. "
Robert J. Shiller
Financial
How
Crisis
" Finance is not merely about making money. It's about achieving our deep goals and protecting the fruits of our labor. It's about stewardship and, therefore, about achieving the good society. "
Robert J. Shiller
Finance
Goals
Good
" If I was counselling an individual, and my purpose was to help that individual, the most important thing would be that you should save more. Because don't expect that your retirement will follow those trajectories that some advisers are telling you. "
Robert J. Shiller
Follow
Purpose
Retirement
" We don't know the probabilities of future events. Still, you have to take action, and so you do it on gut feeling. That's the world we live in. "
Robert J. Shiller
Live
Know
Action
" Even today, I am easily distracted by reading material and will pick up articles on virtually any factual material if I have the time. "
Robert J. Shiller
Up
Will
I Am
" As a child, I was fascinated by any branch of physical or biological science. Even today, I find great excitement in discovering the complexity and variability of the world we live in, getting a glimpse into the deeper reality that we mostly ignore in our everyday human activities. "
Robert J. Shiller
Find
Great
Child
" Fifty years ago or a hundred years ago, generally, most people would buy a house the way you buy a car. When you buy a car, do you think, 'I better buy this year rather than next year because car prices might go up?' "
Robert J. Shiller
House
You
Think
" What would be better, that people build big houses thinking that they'll make capital gains or that they send their children to medical school and they do research on curing diseases? When you put it that way, it seems obvious. There has developed a sense of personal worth that's tied to one's house. "
Robert J. Shiller
You
School
People
" All taxes, except a 'lump-sum tax,' introduce distortions in the economy. But no government can impose a lump-sum tax - the same amount for everyone regardless of their income or expenditures - because it would fall heaviest on those with less income, and it would grind the poor, who might be unable to pay it at all. "
Robert J. Shiller
Economy
Grind
Poor
" This is an anxiety driven world - the whole world is driven by anxiety. It is anxiety about the aftermath of the global financial crisis; it's anxiety about inequality and about computers replacing jobs. "
Robert J. Shiller
World
Anxiety
Computers
" Critics of 'economic sciences' sometimes refer to the development of a 'pseudoscience' of economics, arguing that it uses the trappings of science, like dense mathematics, but only for show. "
Robert J. Shiller
Economics
Mathematics
Science
" People might just decide, 'Yeah, I'll diversify my portfolio. I'll live in a rental.' That is a very sensible thing for many people to do. "
Robert J. Shiller
Portfolio
Decide
Just
" As far as I can find, almost no one in the profession - not even luminaries like John Maynard Keynes, Friedrich Hayek, or Irving Fisher - made public statements anticipating the Great Depression. "
Robert J. Shiller
I Can
Find
Great
" In my first few years of elementary school at the Edison School in Detroit, I did poorly. I remember worrying that I might fail the second grade and be held back. "
Robert J. Shiller
School
Fail
Detroit
" The future is always coming up with surprises for us, and the best way to insulate yourself from these surprises is to diversify. "
Robert J. Shiller
Future
Yourself
Way
" Manufacturers of food try to get the optimal ratio to tap into your impulsivity. They don't care about your health. "
Robert J. Shiller
Food
Try
Your
" Those on the downside of rising economic inequality generally do not want government policies that look like handouts. They typically do not want the government to make the tax system more progressive, to impose punishing taxes on the rich, in order to give the money to them. Redistribution feels demeaning. It feels like being labeled a failure. "
Robert J. Shiller
Government
Rich
Look
" When valuation confidence falls, it means that stock markets are perceived as overpriced. "
Robert J. Shiller
Confidence
Markets
Falls
" We should not be focusing on quick solutions. The really important concern for policymakers everywhere is to prevent disasters - that is, the outlier events that matter the most. "
Robert J. Shiller
Quick
Important
Most
" A moderate tax on robots, even a temporary tax that merely slows the adoption of disruptive technology, seems a natural component of a policy to address rising inequality. Revenue could be targeted toward wage insurance, to help people replaced by new technology make the transition to a different career. "
Robert J. Shiller
People
Inequality
Help
" Yes, horoscopes still persist in popular newspapers, but they are there only for the severely scientifically challenged, or for entertainment; the idea that the stars determine our fate has lost all intellectual currency. "
Robert J. Shiller
Stars
Lost
Intellectual
" In a perfect world, people don't have to move to another country to get a higher wage. Ultimately, they need only be able to participate in producing output that is sold internationally. "
Robert J. Shiller
Country
World
Perfect
" We judge economics by what it can produce. As such, economics is rather more like engineering than physics: more practical than spiritual. "
Robert J. Shiller
Judge
Spiritual
Engineering
" Since the global financial crisis and recession of 2007-2009, criticism of the economics profession has intensified. The failure of all but a few professional economists to forecast the episode - the aftereffects of which still linger - has led many to question whether the economics profession contributes anything significant to society. "
Robert J. Shiller
Failure
Society
Financial
" In a bubble, eventually people start saying, 'Wait a minute... these prices are way too high! What is anyone buying anymore? What could they possibly be thinking?' And then there's a correction and a bursting. "
Robert J. Shiller
People
Wait
Thinking