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" People aren't as impressed by homes anymore after they saw how they collapsed in price with the financial crisis. "
Robert J. Shiller
Financial
How
Crisis
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" All taxes, except a 'lump-sum tax,' introduce distortions in the economy. But no government can impose a lump-sum tax - the same amount for everyone regardless of their income or expenditures - because it would fall heaviest on those with less income, and it would grind the poor, who might be unable to pay it at all. "
Robert J. Shiller
Economy
Grind
Poor
" People might just decide, 'Yeah, I'll diversify my portfolio. I'll live in a rental.' That is a very sensible thing for many people to do. "
Robert J. Shiller
Portfolio
Decide
Just
" People who stay unemployed for a long time start to look like damaged goods, and they don't get such good offers. Also, they're not learning anything. Most learning is on-the-job learning. "
Robert J. Shiller
People
Start
Time
" This is the paradox of thrift: belt-tightening causes people to lose their jobs, because other people are not buying what they produce, so their debt burden rises rather than falls. "
Robert J. Shiller
Burden
People
Paradox
" The future is always coming up with surprises for us, and the best way to insulate yourself from these surprises is to diversify. "
Robert J. Shiller
Future
Yourself
Way
" I want to know diverse facts about such things as galaxies or molecules or proteins or insect species. I have an impulse to want to know the little details, which are usually of no significance to non-specialists. I own a dissection microscope, and if there is an insect in the house, I sometimes catch it and look at it under the microscope. "
Robert J. Shiller
Facts
Want
Look
" I didn't vote for Trump. So we've got him. Let's hope for the best. He might do something good. "
Robert J. Shiller
Best
Him
Good
" When valuation confidence falls, it means that stock markets are perceived as overpriced. "
Robert J. Shiller
Confidence
Markets
Falls
" This is an anxiety driven world - the whole world is driven by anxiety. It is anxiety about the aftermath of the global financial crisis; it's anxiety about inequality and about computers replacing jobs. "
Robert J. Shiller
World
Anxiety
Computers
" Fifty years ago or a hundred years ago, generally, most people would buy a house the way you buy a car. When you buy a car, do you think, 'I better buy this year rather than next year because car prices might go up?' "
Robert J. Shiller
House
You
Think
" I think we do need to try to not just rely on the central bank to, in its wisdom, adjust interest rates, but allow for people to avoid being exposed to inflation risk. "
Robert J. Shiller
Need
People
Risk
" Hesitation is often like procrastination. One may have vague doubts and feel a need to mull things over; meanwhile, other issues intrude on thought, and no decision is taken. Ask people why they procrastinate, and you probably won't get a crisp answer. "
Robert J. Shiller
You
Thought
People
" Diversify, because that helps reduce risk. And you can diversify outside the United States. Some people would never invest in Europe - I think that's a mistake. "
Robert J. Shiller
Think
Never
Mistake
" Trump has never been clear and consistent about what he will do as president. "
Robert J. Shiller
Never
Been
Clear
" If I was counselling an individual, and my purpose was to help that individual, the most important thing would be that you should save more. Because don't expect that your retirement will follow those trajectories that some advisers are telling you. "
Robert J. Shiller
Follow
Purpose
Retirement
" The problem is that once we focus on economic policy, much that is not science comes into play. Politics becomes involved, and political posturing is amply rewarded by public attention. "
Robert J. Shiller
Focus
Political
Science
" Critics of 'economic sciences' sometimes refer to the development of a 'pseudoscience' of economics, arguing that it uses the trappings of science, like dense mathematics, but only for show. "
Robert J. Shiller
Economics
Mathematics
Science
" Trump's victory clearly appears to stem from a sense of economic powerlessness, or a fear of losing power, among his supporters. To them, his simple slogan, 'Make America great again,' sounds like 'Make You great again': economic power will be given to the multitudes without taking anything away from the already successful. "
Robert J. Shiller
Great
Power
Losing
" That's the world we live in: when it comes to economics, people have emotions; it's not like chemistry or physics. "
Robert J. Shiller
Economics
World
People
" Manufacturers of food try to get the optimal ratio to tap into your impulsivity. They don't care about your health. "
Robert J. Shiller
Food
Try
Your
" We judge economics by what it can produce. As such, economics is rather more like engineering than physics: more practical than spiritual. "
Robert J. Shiller
Judge
Spiritual
Engineering
" Any time you have change, it costs somebody. Somebody is a loser. "
Robert J. Shiller
Any
Change
Loser
" In a bubble, eventually people start saying, 'Wait a minute... these prices are way too high! What is anyone buying anymore? What could they possibly be thinking?' And then there's a correction and a bursting. "
Robert J. Shiller
People
Wait
Thinking
" Even today, I am easily distracted by reading material and will pick up articles on virtually any factual material if I have the time. "
Robert J. Shiller
Up
Will
I Am
" Some of the best theorizing comes after collecting data because then you become aware of another reality. "
Robert J. Shiller
You
Become
Best
" Housing traditionally is not viewed as a great investment. It takes maintenance; it depreciates. It goes out of style. All of those are problems. And there's technical progress in housing. So, new ones are better. So, why was it considered an investment? That was a fad. "
Robert J. Shiller
Problems
Great
Better
" We should not be focusing on quick solutions. The really important concern for policymakers everywhere is to prevent disasters - that is, the outlier events that matter the most. "
Robert J. Shiller
Quick
Important
Most
" Somehow, talking to young students brings you back to reality - it should, anyway. "
Robert J. Shiller
Talking
Reality
Back
" One thing I've noticed about history - you can search on newspapers going back hundreds of years, search for 'economic forecast,' you don't find it. It would be very rare to find it. "
Robert J. Shiller
Going
You
Search
" Those on the downside of rising economic inequality generally do not want government policies that look like handouts. They typically do not want the government to make the tax system more progressive, to impose punishing taxes on the rich, in order to give the money to them. Redistribution feels demeaning. It feels like being labeled a failure. "
Robert J. Shiller
Government
Rich
Look