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" Diversify, because that helps reduce risk. And you can diversify outside the United States. Some people would never invest in Europe - I think that's a mistake. "
Robert J. Shiller
Think
Never
Mistake
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" One thing I've noticed about history - you can search on newspapers going back hundreds of years, search for 'economic forecast,' you don't find it. It would be very rare to find it. "
Robert J. Shiller
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" That's the world we live in: when it comes to economics, people have emotions; it's not like chemistry or physics. "
Robert J. Shiller
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World
People
" I often tend to think that things are not what they seem. "
Robert J. Shiller
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Seem
Often
" In my first few years of elementary school at the Edison School in Detroit, I did poorly. I remember worrying that I might fail the second grade and be held back. "
Robert J. Shiller
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Fail
Detroit
" Since the global financial crisis and recession of 2007-2009, criticism of the economics profession has intensified. The failure of all but a few professional economists to forecast the episode - the aftereffects of which still linger - has led many to question whether the economics profession contributes anything significant to society. "
Robert J. Shiller
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Society
Financial
" Oppression thrives on distance - on not actually meeting or seeing the oppressed. "
Robert J. Shiller
Oppression
Distance
Meeting
" The future is always coming up with surprises for us, and the best way to insulate yourself from these surprises is to diversify. "
Robert J. Shiller
Future
Yourself
Way
" Any time you have change, it costs somebody. Somebody is a loser. "
Robert J. Shiller
Any
Change
Loser
" We don't know the probabilities of future events. Still, you have to take action, and so you do it on gut feeling. That's the world we live in. "
Robert J. Shiller
Live
Know
Action
" A lot of people aren't saving enough. And incidentally, people are living longer now, and health care is improving. You might end up retired for 30 years - people are not really preparing for that. "
Robert J. Shiller
Care
End
Health
" As far as I can find, almost no one in the profession - not even luminaries like John Maynard Keynes, Friedrich Hayek, or Irving Fisher - made public statements anticipating the Great Depression. "
Robert J. Shiller
I Can
Find
Great
" All taxes, except a 'lump-sum tax,' introduce distortions in the economy. But no government can impose a lump-sum tax - the same amount for everyone regardless of their income or expenditures - because it would fall heaviest on those with less income, and it would grind the poor, who might be unable to pay it at all. "
Robert J. Shiller
Economy
Grind
Poor
" Money management has been a profession involving a lot of fakery - people saying they can beat the market, and they really can't. "
Robert J. Shiller
Money
Management
Beat
" We should not be focusing on quick solutions. The really important concern for policymakers everywhere is to prevent disasters - that is, the outlier events that matter the most. "
Robert J. Shiller
Quick
Important
Most
" Hesitation is often like procrastination. One may have vague doubts and feel a need to mull things over; meanwhile, other issues intrude on thought, and no decision is taken. Ask people why they procrastinate, and you probably won't get a crisp answer. "
Robert J. Shiller
You
Thought
People
" Some of the best theorizing comes after collecting data because then you become aware of another reality. "
Robert J. Shiller
You
Become
Best
" The problem is that once we focus on economic policy, much that is not science comes into play. Politics becomes involved, and political posturing is amply rewarded by public attention. "
Robert J. Shiller
Focus
Political
Science
" I think we do need to try to not just rely on the central bank to, in its wisdom, adjust interest rates, but allow for people to avoid being exposed to inflation risk. "
Robert J. Shiller
Need
People
Risk
" Finance is not merely about making money. It's about achieving our deep goals and protecting the fruits of our labor. It's about stewardship and, therefore, about achieving the good society. "
Robert J. Shiller
Finance
Goals
Good
" Trump has never been clear and consistent about what he will do as president. "
Robert J. Shiller
Never
Been
Clear
" Manufacturers of food try to get the optimal ratio to tap into your impulsivity. They don't care about your health. "
Robert J. Shiller
Food
Try
Your
" People who stay unemployed for a long time start to look like damaged goods, and they don't get such good offers. Also, they're not learning anything. Most learning is on-the-job learning. "
Robert J. Shiller
People
Start
Time
" People might just decide, 'Yeah, I'll diversify my portfolio. I'll live in a rental.' That is a very sensible thing for many people to do. "
Robert J. Shiller
Portfolio
Decide
Just
" As a child, I was fascinated by any branch of physical or biological science. Even today, I find great excitement in discovering the complexity and variability of the world we live in, getting a glimpse into the deeper reality that we mostly ignore in our everyday human activities. "
Robert J. Shiller
Find
Great
Child
" Fear causes individuals to restrain their spending and firms to withhold investments; as a result, the economy weakens, confirming their fear and leading them to restrain spending further. The downturn deepens, and a vicious circle of despair takes hold. "
Robert J. Shiller
Result
Circle
Fear
" Yes, horoscopes still persist in popular newspapers, but they are there only for the severely scientifically challenged, or for entertainment; the idea that the stars determine our fate has lost all intellectual currency. "
Robert J. Shiller
Stars
Lost
Intellectual
" I think that a lot of people in all walks of life have the impression, of course, that, 'I specialize in something. I can't - I don't have the time to read other things. I'll just go to pure entertainment when I'm relaxing, and then I'll come back to my pure specialty.' That produces - that attitude produces idiot savants, unfortunately. "
Robert J. Shiller
Think
Life
Go
" People aren't as impressed by homes anymore after they saw how they collapsed in price with the financial crisis. "
Robert J. Shiller
Financial
How
Crisis
" Even today, I am easily distracted by reading material and will pick up articles on virtually any factual material if I have the time. "
Robert J. Shiller
Up
Will
I Am
" I didn't vote for Trump. So we've got him. Let's hope for the best. He might do something good. "
Robert J. Shiller
Best
Him
Good