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" If your goal is to change the world, you can't start by doing things the same old way because it sells better. "
Henry Spencer
Start
Change The World
World
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" Supplying fuel for a Mars expedition from the lunar surface is often suggested, but it's hard to make it pay off - Moon bases are expensive, and just buying more rockets to launch fuel from Earth is relatively cheap. "
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Moon
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" Historically, the U.S.'s big launchers fly seldom enough that their costs are dominated by annual upkeep of facilities and staff, not by the actual cost of each launch. The expensive part is maintaining the launch capability, not actually conducting launches. "
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" Spaceflight, especially in the Mercury spacecraft, clearly wasn't going to be much like flying an airplane. "
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" NASA has never had a problem finding capable people to be astronauts. NASA's problem was, and still is, finding ways to cut the list of capable applicants down to a manageable length. "
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" The demise of Constellation is not the death of a dream. It's just the end of an illusion. "
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" Progress requires setbacks; the only sure way to avoid failure is not to try. "
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" Sure, there were hopes that Constellation's systems could later be adapted to support more ambitious goals. But Apollo had those hopes, too. It didn't work in 1970, and it wasn't going to work in 2020. "
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Work
Goals
Support
" One of the headaches of high-tech test programmes is having to debug the test arrangements before you can start debugging the things you're trying to test. "
Henry Spencer
Test
Start
Before
" An experienced designer with more freedom to act might have realised that there was just too much optimism in the Ares I concept: that a shuttle SRB was simply too small as a first stage for a rocket carrying the relatively heavy Orion spacecraft. "
Henry Spencer
Optimism
Too Much
Small
" Not until the space shuttle started flying did NASA concede that some astronauts didn't have to be fast-jet pilots. And at that point, sure enough, women started becoming astronauts. "
Henry Spencer
Enough
Women
NASA
" Reusable rockets promise much easier testing because you should usually get them back, and you can debug as you go rather than having to get everything perfect the first time. "
Henry Spencer
You
Space
Perfect
" Since SpaceX's very beginnings, they have talked about recovering and reusing at least the first stages of their rockets. "
Henry Spencer
About
Beginnings
First
" The Apollo programme of the 1960s had some weight problems, too; in particular, the lunar lander needed some fairly drastic weight-reduction work. "
Henry Spencer
Apollo
Work
Weight
" Claiming that solid rockets are necessary for a heavy-lift launcher is obvious nonsense. "
Henry Spencer
Solid
Necessary
Nonsense
" The Moon may not be quite as appealing as Mars, but it's still a complex and poorly understood world, with many questions still unanswered. "
Henry Spencer
Moon
World
Questions
" Rocket engines generally are simpler than jet engines, not more complicated. "
Henry Spencer
Complicated
Than
Rocket
" Liquid oxygen is one of the cheapest manufactured substances on Earth. In large quantities, it costs pennies per kilogram - cheaper than milk or beer. "
Henry Spencer
Cheaper
Than
Milk
" The Orion capsule uses an escape system quite like that of the Apollo spacecraft in the 1960s and 70s: an 'escape tower' containing a solid-fuel rocket that will pull it up and away from Ares I in a pinch. "
Henry Spencer
Up
Rocket
Space
" It's true that Apollo 10's lander was overweight. Late in the craft's development, it became clear that its ballooning weight was endangering the whole mission. "
Henry Spencer
True
Development
Craft
" In the first few years, it was at least plausible to come in in the morning and read all the Usenet traffic that had come in, and 15 minutes later be off doing something useful. "
Henry Spencer
First
Doing
Years
" Past experience, on the shuttle and the Titan rockets, suggests that large multi-segment solid rockets have a probability of failure of 0.5 to 1 per cent. "
Henry Spencer
Probability
Past
Failure
" Technically and financially, it might still make sense to give up on Ares I and simply write off the money spent on it, but politically, that's probably impossible. "
Henry Spencer
Money
Impossible
Off
" Whether solid rockets are more or less likely to fail than liquid-fuel rockets is debatable. More serious, though, is that when they do fail, it's usually violent and spectacular. "
Henry Spencer
Serious
Spectacular
Fail
" Is manned space exploration important? Yes - not least because it simply works much better than sending robots. "
Henry Spencer
Important
Space
Exploration
" Speaking of photography, while the Apollo 8 crew shot hundreds of photos, there was one that got everybody's attention: a blue-and-white Earth rising over a gray moonscape. "
Henry Spencer
Earth
Gray
Attention
" In the long run, it's impossible to make progress without sometimes having setbacks, although people who get lucky on their first attempt sometimes forget this. "
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Long
People
Progress
" In a small spacecraft, it was hard for the other two guys to sleep when the on-duty man was talking to Mission Control regularly. "
Henry Spencer
Sleep
Mission
Small
" Testing a parachute drop of a heavy object is not simple. "
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Simple
Parachute
Heavy
" Solid-fuel rockets can't easily be shut down on command. "
Henry Spencer
Command
Shut
Down
" SpaceX does seem to have had a run of bad luck, with its first three launches all failing. "
Henry Spencer
Bad Luck
First
Three