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" The current understanding was that it was impossible to predict how something would evolve because it was a very turbulent environment full of things interacting with each other. "
Kevin Kelly
Understanding
Environment
Impossible
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" Technological advances could allow us to see more clearly into our own lives. "
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Technological
See
Us
" But in a turbulent environment the change is so widespread that it just routes around any kind of central authority. So it is best to manage the bottom-up change rather than try to institute it from the top down. "
Kevin Kelly
Best
Authority
Environment
" But when you are embodied in a location, in a physical plant, in a set of people, and in a common history, that constrains your evolution and your ability to evolve in certain directions. "
Kevin Kelly
Evolution
You
Plant
" Basins of attraction, of self organization, show up as well in our complex social environment, in human organizations. Here again, while we cannot predict the result of any given input, we can say that it will likely fall within one of several areas. "
Kevin Kelly
Self
Fall
Environment
" It's more along the lines of raising a child: we train the system to a certain range of behaviors that we find most useful. But then we let it go, because we don't want to have to be babysitting it the whole time. "
Kevin Kelly
Want
Train
Time
" The organization and the environment are in concert. "
Kevin Kelly
Environment
Organization
Concert
" This is actually a very important principle that science is learning about large systems like evolution and that futurists are learning about anticipating human society: just because a future scenario is plausible doesn't mean we can get there from here. "
Kevin Kelly
Learning
Future
Society
" An organization's reason for being, like that of any organism, is to help the parts that are in relationship to each other, to be able to deal with change in the environment. "
Kevin Kelly
Change
Relationship
Organization
" Complexity that works is built up out of modules that work perfectly, layered one over the other. "
Kevin Kelly
Work
Other
Up
" Much of outcomes research is a systematic attempt to exploit what is known and make it better. "
Kevin Kelly
Much
Research
Outcomes
" All imaginable futures are not equally possible. "
Kevin Kelly
Possible
Imaginable
Equally
" Organizations get invested into a particular product. And sometimes the best thing is to stop making that product, even though it's profitable, because it has optimized at a local peak. "
Kevin Kelly
Stop
Because
Best
" Everything that we are making, we are making more and more complex. "
Kevin Kelly
Complex
More
Making
" Managers tend to treat organizations as if they are infinitely plastic. They hire and fire, merge, downsize, terminate programs, add capacities. But there are limits to the shifts that organizations can absorb. "
Kevin Kelly
Treat
Plastic
Limits
" It has become evident that the primary lesson of the study of evolution is that all evolution is coevolution: every organism is evolving in tandem with the organisms around it. "
Kevin Kelly
Lesson
Evolution
Become
" An organization is a set of relationships that are persistent over time. "
Kevin Kelly
Organization
Over
Relationships
" A brain is a society of very small, simple modules that cannot be said to be thinking, that are not smart in themselves. But when you have a network of them together, out of that arises a kind of smartness. "
Kevin Kelly
Smart
Society
Together
" The nature of an innovation is that it will arise at a fringe where it can afford to become prevalent enough to establish its usefulness without being overwhelmed by the inertia of the orthodox system. "
Kevin Kelly
Overwhelmed
Nature
Innovation
" Species go extinct because there are historical contraints built into a given body or a given design. "
Kevin Kelly
Go
Body
Because
" Each organism's environment, for the most part, consists of other organisms. "
Kevin Kelly
Environment
Other
Most
" The system continually has to make this choice: it can either continue to exploit a known process and make it more productive, or it can explore a new process at the cost of being less efficient. "
Kevin Kelly
More
Choice
Explore
" When a system is in turbulence, the turbulence is not just out there in the environment, but is a part of the organization or organism that you are looking at. "
Kevin Kelly
Environment
Looking
You
" An organization's intelligence is distributed to the point of being ubiquitous. "
Kevin Kelly
Intelligence
Point
Organization
" But in fact, when you try to model that on a computer you find that because of the very structure of matter and of the chemical bonds that are the basis of every organism, evolution is not random at all. It will tend to follow certain paths. "
Kevin Kelly
Evolution
Paths
You
" The great advance of personal computers was not the computing power per se but the fact that it brought it right to your face, that you had control over it, that were confronted with it and could steer it. "
Kevin Kelly
Power
Face
Control
" The most interesting thing about change in the environment is that for the most part the environment isn't changing. "
Kevin Kelly
Most
Change
Environment
" We are infected by our own misunderstanding of how our own minds work. "
Kevin Kelly
Work
Misunderstanding
Minds
" We tend to think of the mind of an organization residing in the CEO and the organization's top managers, perhaps with the help of outside consultants that they call in. But that is not really how an organization thinks. "
Kevin Kelly
Top
Help
Think
" Organisms by their design are not made to adapt too far. "
Kevin Kelly
Design
Adapt
Too
" The way that organizations and organisms anticipate the future is by taking signals from the past, most the time. "
Kevin Kelly
Way
Future
Most