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All Quotes by author - Nate Silver
" Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline. "
Better
Good
Direction
" All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to. "
Time
Know
More
" Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak. "
Much
Cold
Hot
" A lot of journalism wants to have what they call objectivity without them having a commitment to pursuing the truth, but that doesn't work. Objectivity requires belief in and a commitment toward pursuing the truth - having an object outside of our personal point of view. "
Truth
Commitment
Work
" A lot of news is just entertainment masquerading as news. "
Entertainment
Just
News
" A lot of the time nothing happens in a day. "
Nothing
Lot
Day
" A lot of things can't be modeled very well. "
Very
Modeled
Lot
" Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much. "
Much
You
Tell
" Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press. "
Books
Before
Luxury
" By playing games you can artificially speed up your learning curve to develop the right kind of thought processes. "
Speed
You
Up
" Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him. "
Him
Recognized
Believe
" Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge. "
Noise
Both
Knowledge
" Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in its entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or 13-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next Twilight movie. "
Every Day
Library
Three
" Every four years in the presidential election, some new precedent is broken. "
New
Years
Some
" First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views. "
Politics
Think
Political
" I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week. "
New York
New
Maybe
" I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though. "
Myself
Work
Play
" I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.' "
Experiment
Think
Behavior
" I don't think you should limit what you read. "
Limit
You
Think
" If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy. "
Busy
Computer
Looked
" If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't. "
Policy
Foreign Policy
Event
" If you aren't taking a representative sample, you won't get a representative snapshot. "
Representative
You
Get
" If you have reason to think that yesterday's forecast went wrong, there is no glory in sticking to it. "
Think
Reason
Glory
" If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring. "
Yourself
Boring
Data
" I guess I don't like the people in politics very much, to be blunt. "
Politics
People
Much
" I have the same friends and the same bad habits. "
Habits
Bad
Bad Habits
" I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being. "
Human
Sure
Time
" I have to think about how to not spread myself too thin. It's a really great problem to have. "
Problem
Thin
Think
" I love South American food, and I haven't really been down there. I really need a vacation. "
Need
Vacation
American
" I'm a pro-horserace guy. "
Guy
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