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All Quotes by author - Nate Silver
" Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline. "
" All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to. "
" Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak. "
" A lot of journalism wants to have what they call objectivity without them having a commitment to pursuing the truth, but that doesn't work. Objectivity requires belief in and a commitment toward pursuing the truth - having an object outside of our personal point of view. "
" A lot of news is just entertainment masquerading as news. "
" A lot of the time nothing happens in a day. "
" A lot of things can't be modeled very well. "
" Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much. "
" Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press. "
" By playing games you can artificially speed up your learning curve to develop the right kind of thought processes. "
" Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him. "
" Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge. "
" Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in its entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or 13-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next Twilight movie. "
" Every four years in the presidential election, some new precedent is broken. "
" First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views. "
" I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week. "
" I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though. "
" I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.' "
" I don't think you should limit what you read. "
" If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy. "
" If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't. "
" If you aren't taking a representative sample, you won't get a representative snapshot. "
" If you have reason to think that yesterday's forecast went wrong, there is no glory in sticking to it. "
" If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring. "
" I guess I don't like the people in politics very much, to be blunt. "
" I have the same friends and the same bad habits. "
" I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being. "
" I have to think about how to not spread myself too thin. It's a really great problem to have. "
" I love South American food, and I haven't really been down there. I really need a vacation. "
" I'm a pro-horserace guy. "
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