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" If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy. "

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" Walk rate is probably the area in which a pitcher has the most room to improve, but a rate that high is tough to overcome. "

" If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring. "

" I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs. "

" In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it. "

" You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects. "

" I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though. "

" Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge. "

" Every four years in the presidential election, some new precedent is broken. "

" I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts. "

" The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are. "

" I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience. "

" Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him. "

" I don't think you should limit what you read. "

" The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times, and so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before. "

" Well the way we perceive accuracy and what accuracy is statistically are really two different things. "

" I've just always been a bit of a dork. "

" If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't. "

" The problem is that when polls are wrong, they tend to be wrong in the same direction. If they miss in New Hampshire, for instance, they all miss on the same mistake. "

" By playing games you can artificially speed up your learning curve to develop the right kind of thought processes. "

" Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press. "

" All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to. "

" I think punditry serves no purpose. "

" People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it. "

" I'm not trying to do anything too tricky. "

" If you have reason to think that yesterday's forecast went wrong, there is no glory in sticking to it. "

" You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast. "

" Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election. "

" On average, people should be more skeptical when they see numbers. They should be more willing to play around with the data themselves. "

" Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense. "

" A lot of journalism wants to have what they call objectivity without them having a commitment to pursuing the truth, but that doesn't work. Objectivity requires belief in and a commitment toward pursuing the truth - having an object outside of our personal point of view. "