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" All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to. "

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" Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense. "

" I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience. "

" In politics people build whole reputations off of getting one thing right. "

" A lot of journalism wants to have what they call objectivity without them having a commitment to pursuing the truth, but that doesn't work. Objectivity requires belief in and a commitment toward pursuing the truth - having an object outside of our personal point of view. "

" I love South American food, and I haven't really been down there. I really need a vacation. "

" Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak. "

" We must become more comfortable with probability and uncertainty. "

" People attach too much importance to intangibles like heart, desire and clutch hitting. "

" Well the way we perceive accuracy and what accuracy is statistically are really two different things. "

" A lot of news is just entertainment masquerading as news. "

" You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast. "

" We're not that much smarter than we used to be, even though we have much more information - and that means the real skill now is learning how to pick out the useful information from all this noise. "

" The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are. "

" There's always the risk that there are unknown unknowns. "

" A lot of things can't be modeled very well. "

" You don't want to treat any one person as oracular. "

" Midterm elections can be dreadfully boring, unfortunately. "

" Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in its entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or 13-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next Twilight movie. "

" I have to think about how to not spread myself too thin. It's a really great problem to have. "

" People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is. "

" I don't think you should limit what you read. "

" I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week. "

" I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil. "

" By playing games you can artificially speed up your learning curve to develop the right kind of thought processes. "

" A lot of the time nothing happens in a day. "

" To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance. "

" If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't. "

" I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over. "

" We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup. "

" The thing that people associate with expertise, authoritativeness, kind of with a capital 'A,' don't correlate very well with who's actually good at making predictions. "