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" A lot of journalism wants to have what they call objectivity without them having a commitment to pursuing the truth, but that doesn't work. Objectivity requires belief in and a commitment toward pursuing the truth - having an object outside of our personal point of view. "

Nate Silver

Truth

Commitment

Work

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" All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to. "

Nate Silver

Time

Know

" Voters memories will fade some. "

" If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't. "

" Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him. "

" Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense. "

" I love South American food, and I haven't really been down there. I really need a vacation. "

" There's always the risk that there are unknown unknowns. "

" The thing that people associate with expertise, authoritativeness, kind of with a capital 'A,' don't correlate very well with who's actually good at making predictions. "

" Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press. "

" A lot of the time nothing happens in a day. "

" When you try to predict future E.R.A.'s with past E.R.A.'s, you're making a mistake. "

" Well the way we perceive accuracy and what accuracy is statistically are really two different things. "

" A lot of things can't be modeled very well. "

" Success makes you less intimidated by things. "

" I have the same friends and the same bad habits. "

" Walk rate is probably the area in which a pitcher has the most room to improve, but a rate that high is tough to overcome. "

" Well, you know, you're not going to have 86 percent of Congress voted out of office. "

" I don't think you should limit what you read. "

" Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline. "

" People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is. "

" I think punditry serves no purpose. "

" It's a little strange to become a kind of symbol of a whole type of analysis. "

" We must become more comfortable with probability and uncertainty. "

Nate Silver

Become

Uncertainty

" The problem is that when polls are wrong, they tend to be wrong in the same direction. If they miss in New Hampshire, for instance, they all miss on the same mistake. "