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" A lot of news is just entertainment masquerading as news. "
" If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring. "
" I have the same friends and the same bad habits. "
" A lot of the time nothing happens in a day. "
" I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being. "
" I've just always been a bit of a dork. "
" To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance. "
" I think punditry serves no purpose. "
" I guess I don't like the people in politics very much, to be blunt. "
" You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects. "
" Walk rate is probably the area in which a pitcher has the most room to improve, but a rate that high is tough to overcome. "
" We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup. "
" You don't want to treat any one person as oracular. "
" I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil. "
" I have to think about how to not spread myself too thin. It's a really great problem to have. "
" The problem is that when polls are wrong, they tend to be wrong in the same direction. If they miss in New Hampshire, for instance, they all miss on the same mistake. "
" I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts. "
" I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though. "
" Midterm elections can be dreadfully boring, unfortunately. "
" If you aren't taking a representative sample, you won't get a representative snapshot. "
" I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience. "
" I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.' "
" Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense. "
" People attach too much importance to intangibles like heart, desire and clutch hitting. "
" You get steely nerves playing poker. "
" Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him. "
" I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week. "
" I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics. "
" When you try to predict future E.R.A.'s with past E.R.A.'s, you're making a mistake. "
" People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them. "
" The key to making a good forecast is not in limiting yourself to quantitative information. "