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" Every four years in the presidential election, some new precedent is broken. "

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" The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are. "

" I have the same friends and the same bad habits. "

" Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him. "

" Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in its entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or 13-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next Twilight movie. "

" All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to. "

" I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil. "

" A lot of things can't be modeled very well. "

" I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week. "

" On average, people should be more skeptical when they see numbers. They should be more willing to play around with the data themselves. "

" When you try to predict future E.R.A.'s with past E.R.A.'s, you're making a mistake. "

" If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring. "

" We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup. "

" A lot of the time nothing happens in a day. "

" It's a little strange to become a kind of symbol of a whole type of analysis. "

" I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics. "

" I'm a pro-horserace guy. "

" First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views. "

" People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it. "

" Midterm elections can be dreadfully boring, unfortunately. "

" I've just always been a bit of a dork. "

" In politics people build whole reputations off of getting one thing right. "

" I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve. "

" Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline. "

" Walk rate is probably the area in which a pitcher has the most room to improve, but a rate that high is tough to overcome. "

" Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election. "

" Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge. "

" If you have reason to think that yesterday's forecast went wrong, there is no glory in sticking to it. "

" I think punditry serves no purpose. "

" Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public. "

" Success makes you less intimidated by things. "