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" A lot of things can't be modeled very well. "

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" Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him. "

" A lot of news is just entertainment masquerading as news. "

" You don't want to treat any one person as oracular. "

" Midterm elections can be dreadfully boring, unfortunately. "

" Walk rate is probably the area in which a pitcher has the most room to improve, but a rate that high is tough to overcome. "

" We are living our lives more online and you need to have different ways to capture that. "

" I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil. "

" If you aren't taking a representative sample, you won't get a representative snapshot. "

" I'm a pro-horserace guy. "

" I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though. "

" We must become more comfortable with probability and uncertainty. "

" I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts. "

" When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen. "

" I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs. "

" All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to. "

" I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.' "

" We want to get 80%-85% of predictions right, not 100%. Or else we calibrated our estimates in the wrong way. "

" Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in its entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or 13-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next Twilight movie. "

" I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve. "

" Success makes you less intimidated by things. "

" People attach too much importance to intangibles like heart, desire and clutch hitting. "

" The problem is that when polls are wrong, they tend to be wrong in the same direction. If they miss in New Hampshire, for instance, they all miss on the same mistake. "

" We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup. "

" If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy. "

" The key to making a good forecast is not in limiting yourself to quantitative information. "

" Well, you know, you're not going to have 86 percent of Congress voted out of office. "

" People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it. "

" Every four years in the presidential election, some new precedent is broken. "

" I think punditry serves no purpose. "

" In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it. "