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" If you aren't taking a representative sample, you won't get a representative snapshot. "
Nate Silver
Representative
You
Get
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" A lot of things can't be modeled very well. "
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Very
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Lot
" I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs. "
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I Think
Journal
Lot
" Midterm elections can be dreadfully boring, unfortunately. "
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Elections
Unfortunately
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" People attach too much importance to intangibles like heart, desire and clutch hitting. "
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People
Like
Heart
" By playing games you can artificially speed up your learning curve to develop the right kind of thought processes. "
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Speed
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Up
" I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil. "
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Evil
Saying
Now
" I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though. "
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Myself
Work
Play
" I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being. "
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Human
Sure
Time
" In politics people build whole reputations off of getting one thing right. "
Nate Silver
Politics
Right
Build
" If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring. "
Nate Silver
Yourself
Boring
Data
" We must become more comfortable with probability and uncertainty. "
Nate Silver
Become
More
Uncertainty
" I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics. "
Nate Silver
Competition
Looking
Politics
" Voters memories will fade some. "
Nate Silver
Some
Fade
Memories
" I've just always been a bit of a dork. "
Nate Silver
Just
Always
Been
" All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to. "
Nate Silver
Time
Know
More
" You get steely nerves playing poker. "
Nate Silver
Nerves
Poker
You
" Success makes you less intimidated by things. "
Nate Silver
Things
You
Intimidated
" Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense. "
Nate Silver
People
Acting
You
" A lot of news is just entertainment masquerading as news. "
Nate Silver
Entertainment
Just
News
" On average, people should be more skeptical when they see numbers. They should be more willing to play around with the data themselves. "
Nate Silver
More
Data
Play
" Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public. "
Nate Silver
Congress
Get
Opportunities
" When you try to predict future E.R.A.'s with past E.R.A.'s, you're making a mistake. "
Nate Silver
Predict
Mistake
You
" The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are. "
Nate Silver
Economists
More
Most
" I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week. "
Nate Silver
New York
New
Maybe
" To be a very, very minor, eighth-tier celebrity, you realize, 'Hey, celebrities are just like us.' "
Nate Silver
Like
You
Celebrity
" If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy. "
Nate Silver
Busy
Computer
Looked
" You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast. "
Nate Silver
System
You
Trying
" We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup. "
Nate Silver
Where
World
Beats
" I guess I don't like the people in politics very much, to be blunt. "
Nate Silver
Politics
People
Much
" It's a little strange to become a kind of symbol of a whole type of analysis. "
Nate Silver
Kind
Little
Strange