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" Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much. "
Nate Silver
Much
You
Tell
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" If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't. "
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" In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it. "
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" People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them. "
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" A lot of the time nothing happens in a day. "
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" Well the way we perceive accuracy and what accuracy is statistically are really two different things. "
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" I have the same friends and the same bad habits. "
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" You get steely nerves playing poker. "
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Nerves
Poker
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" I'm not trying to do anything too tricky. "
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" I guess I don't like the people in politics very much, to be blunt. "
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" We are living our lives more online and you need to have different ways to capture that. "
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Living
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" A lot of journalism wants to have what they call objectivity without them having a commitment to pursuing the truth, but that doesn't work. Objectivity requires belief in and a commitment toward pursuing the truth - having an object outside of our personal point of view. "
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Truth
Commitment
Work
" When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen. "
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Human
Happen
Funny
" If you aren't taking a representative sample, you won't get a representative snapshot. "
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Representative
You
Get
" I don't think you should limit what you read. "
Nate Silver
Limit
You
Think
" People attach too much importance to intangibles like heart, desire and clutch hitting. "
Nate Silver
People
Like
Heart
" There's always the risk that there are unknown unknowns. "
Nate Silver
Unknowns
Unknown
Always
" Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public. "
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Congress
Get
Opportunities
" I'm a pro-horserace guy. "
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Guy
" Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge. "
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Noise
Both
Knowledge
" On average, people should be more skeptical when they see numbers. They should be more willing to play around with the data themselves. "
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More
Data
Play
" Voters memories will fade some. "
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Some
Fade
Memories
" I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs. "
Nate Silver
I Think
Journal
Lot
" Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election. "
Nate Silver
Still
Race
Every
" We're not that much smarter than we used to be, even though we have much more information - and that means the real skill now is learning how to pick out the useful information from all this noise. "
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Now
Skill
Real
" We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup. "
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Where
World
Beats
" A lot of news is just entertainment masquerading as news. "
Nate Silver
Entertainment
Just
News
" When you try to predict future E.R.A.'s with past E.R.A.'s, you're making a mistake. "
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Predict
Mistake
You
" First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views. "
Nate Silver
Politics
Think
Political
" People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it. "
Nate Silver
Know
Light
Information
" Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in its entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or 13-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next Twilight movie. "
Nate Silver
Every Day
Library
Three