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" I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week. "

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" It's a little strange to become a kind of symbol of a whole type of analysis. "

" To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance. "

" Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press. "

" If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy. "

" Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public. "

" I love South American food, and I haven't really been down there. I really need a vacation. "

" In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it. "

" I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.' "

" We must become more comfortable with probability and uncertainty. "

" People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is. "

" Well, you know, you're not going to have 86 percent of Congress voted out of office. "

" Walk rate is probably the area in which a pitcher has the most room to improve, but a rate that high is tough to overcome. "

" I've just always been a bit of a dork. "

" I guess I don't like the people in politics very much, to be blunt. "

" The thing that people associate with expertise, authoritativeness, kind of with a capital 'A,' don't correlate very well with who's actually good at making predictions. "

" First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views. "

" By playing games you can artificially speed up your learning curve to develop the right kind of thought processes. "

" I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve. "

" When you get into statistical analysis, you don't really expect to achieve fame. Or to become an Internet meme. Or be parodied by 'The Onion' - or be the subject of a cartoon in 'The New Yorker.' I guess I'm kind of an outlier there. "

" You get steely nerves playing poker. "

" Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge. "

" In politics people build whole reputations off of getting one thing right. "

" Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline. "

" The problem is that when polls are wrong, they tend to be wrong in the same direction. If they miss in New Hampshire, for instance, they all miss on the same mistake. "

" Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak. "

" I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs. "

" We are living our lives more online and you need to have different ways to capture that. "

" Voters memories will fade some. "

" Well the way we perceive accuracy and what accuracy is statistically are really two different things. "

" I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil. "