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" I guess I don't like the people in politics very much, to be blunt. "
Nate Silver
Politics
People
Much
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" In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it. "
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" I've just always been a bit of a dork. "
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" I think punditry serves no purpose. "
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" People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is. "
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" If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't. "
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" If you have reason to think that yesterday's forecast went wrong, there is no glory in sticking to it. "
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Glory
" All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to. "
Nate Silver
Time
Know
More
" I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being. "
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Human
Sure
Time
" I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience. "
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You
Time
People
" If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy. "
Nate Silver
Busy
Computer
Looked
" When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen. "
Nate Silver
Human
Happen
Funny
" If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring. "
Nate Silver
Yourself
Boring
Data
" A lot of journalism wants to have what they call objectivity without them having a commitment to pursuing the truth, but that doesn't work. Objectivity requires belief in and a commitment toward pursuing the truth - having an object outside of our personal point of view. "
Nate Silver
Truth
Commitment
Work
" We are living our lives more online and you need to have different ways to capture that. "
Nate Silver
Living
You
Online
" The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times, and so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before. "
Nate Silver
Where
Lot
Ideas
" I'm not trying to do anything too tricky. "
Nate Silver
Anything
Trying
Tricky
" We're not that much smarter than we used to be, even though we have much more information - and that means the real skill now is learning how to pick out the useful information from all this noise. "
Nate Silver
Now
Skill
Real
" The problem is that when polls are wrong, they tend to be wrong in the same direction. If they miss in New Hampshire, for instance, they all miss on the same mistake. "
Nate Silver
Problem
Direction
Wrong
" Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him. "
Nate Silver
Him
Recognized
Believe
" A lot of things can't be modeled very well. "
Nate Silver
Very
Modeled
Lot
" Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense. "
Nate Silver
People
Acting
You
" I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs. "
Nate Silver
I Think
Journal
Lot
" Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much. "
Nate Silver
Much
You
Tell
" Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak. "
Nate Silver
Much
Cold
Hot
" I have to think about how to not spread myself too thin. It's a really great problem to have. "
Nate Silver
Problem
Thin
Think
" You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast. "
Nate Silver
System
You
Trying
" I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.' "
Nate Silver
Experiment
Think
Behavior
" Walk rate is probably the area in which a pitcher has the most room to improve, but a rate that high is tough to overcome. "
Nate Silver
Tough
Improve
Walk
" If you aren't taking a representative sample, you won't get a representative snapshot. "
Nate Silver
Representative
You
Get
" To be a very, very minor, eighth-tier celebrity, you realize, 'Hey, celebrities are just like us.' "
Nate Silver
Like
You
Celebrity