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" Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public. "

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" People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them. "

" Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much. "

" The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times, and so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before. "

" I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being. "

" Midterm elections can be dreadfully boring, unfortunately. "

" I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over. "

" People attach too much importance to intangibles like heart, desire and clutch hitting. "

" I'm a pro-horserace guy. "

" If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring. "

" The thing that people associate with expertise, authoritativeness, kind of with a capital 'A,' don't correlate very well with who's actually good at making predictions. "

" In politics people build whole reputations off of getting one thing right. "

" It's a little strange to become a kind of symbol of a whole type of analysis. "

" First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views. "

" Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline. "

" Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election. "

" I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week. "

" You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects. "

" Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense. "

" The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are. "

" If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't. "

" Voters memories will fade some. "

" Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in its entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or 13-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next Twilight movie. "

" If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy. "

" People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it. "

" I don't think you should limit what you read. "

" You get steely nerves playing poker. "

" I think punditry serves no purpose. "

" The key to making a good forecast is not in limiting yourself to quantitative information. "

" I have to think about how to not spread myself too thin. It's a really great problem to have. "

" If you aren't taking a representative sample, you won't get a representative snapshot. "