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" Voters memories will fade some. "

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" I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.' "

" Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak. "

" I'm not trying to do anything too tricky. "

" A lot of journalism wants to have what they call objectivity without them having a commitment to pursuing the truth, but that doesn't work. Objectivity requires belief in and a commitment toward pursuing the truth - having an object outside of our personal point of view. "

" We are living our lives more online and you need to have different ways to capture that. "

" Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press. "

" I think punditry serves no purpose. "

" To be a very, very minor, eighth-tier celebrity, you realize, 'Hey, celebrities are just like us.' "

" I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience. "

" If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring. "

" You get steely nerves playing poker. "

" I've just always been a bit of a dork. "

" We must become more comfortable with probability and uncertainty. "

" Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election. "

" I guess I don't like the people in politics very much, to be blunt. "

" The key to making a good forecast is not in limiting yourself to quantitative information. "

" If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy. "

" The problem is that when polls are wrong, they tend to be wrong in the same direction. If they miss in New Hampshire, for instance, they all miss on the same mistake. "

" People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it. "

" I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil. "

" When you try to predict future E.R.A.'s with past E.R.A.'s, you're making a mistake. "

" I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being. "

" I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve. "

" Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public. "

" I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts. "

" People attach too much importance to intangibles like heart, desire and clutch hitting. "

" I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs. "

" All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to. "

" Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense. "

" Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much. "