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" In politics people build whole reputations off of getting one thing right. "

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" Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much. "

" In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it. "

" If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy. "

" I have the same friends and the same bad habits. "

" Voters memories will fade some. "

" People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is. "

" I guess I don't like the people in politics very much, to be blunt. "

" Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense. "

" Well the way we perceive accuracy and what accuracy is statistically are really two different things. "

" Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge. "

" A lot of journalism wants to have what they call objectivity without them having a commitment to pursuing the truth, but that doesn't work. Objectivity requires belief in and a commitment toward pursuing the truth - having an object outside of our personal point of view. "

" If you have reason to think that yesterday's forecast went wrong, there is no glory in sticking to it. "

" We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup. "

" Walk rate is probably the area in which a pitcher has the most room to improve, but a rate that high is tough to overcome. "

" I love South American food, and I haven't really been down there. I really need a vacation. "

" I've just always been a bit of a dork. "

" You don't want to treat any one person as oracular. "

" A lot of the time nothing happens in a day. "

" We must become more comfortable with probability and uncertainty. "

" Success makes you less intimidated by things. "

" People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them. "

" Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public. "

" I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience. "

" To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance. "

" I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week. "

" When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen. "

" If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring. "

" Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press. "

" I have to think about how to not spread myself too thin. It's a really great problem to have. "

" All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to. "