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" People attach too much importance to intangibles like heart, desire and clutch hitting. "

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" A lot of news is just entertainment masquerading as news. "

" Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline. "

" You don't want to treat any one person as oracular. "

" I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over. "

" We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup. "

" Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge. "

" I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though. "

" On average, people should be more skeptical when they see numbers. They should be more willing to play around with the data themselves. "

" I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being. "

" If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy. "

" Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public. "

" Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much. "

" In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it. "

" I'm not trying to do anything too tricky. "

" I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve. "

" I love South American food, and I haven't really been down there. I really need a vacation. "

" There's always the risk that there are unknown unknowns. "

" You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast. "

" I'm a pro-horserace guy. "

" When you try to predict future E.R.A.'s with past E.R.A.'s, you're making a mistake. "

" If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring. "

" I've just always been a bit of a dork. "

" I have to think about how to not spread myself too thin. It's a really great problem to have. "

" I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience. "

" The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are. "

" If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't. "

" In politics people build whole reputations off of getting one thing right. "

" People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is. "

" A lot of the time nothing happens in a day. "

" People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it. "