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" The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are. "

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" When you try to predict future E.R.A.'s with past E.R.A.'s, you're making a mistake. "

" The problem is that when polls are wrong, they tend to be wrong in the same direction. If they miss in New Hampshire, for instance, they all miss on the same mistake. "

" Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in its entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or 13-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next Twilight movie. "

" If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't. "

" All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to. "

" You get steely nerves playing poker. "

" Walk rate is probably the area in which a pitcher has the most room to improve, but a rate that high is tough to overcome. "

" I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over. "

" To be a very, very minor, eighth-tier celebrity, you realize, 'Hey, celebrities are just like us.' "

" If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring. "

" Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge. "

" In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it. "

" Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline. "

" I love South American food, and I haven't really been down there. I really need a vacation. "

" First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views. "

" A lot of news is just entertainment masquerading as news. "

" Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public. "

" Well the way we perceive accuracy and what accuracy is statistically are really two different things. "

" On average, people should be more skeptical when they see numbers. They should be more willing to play around with the data themselves. "

" People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it. "

" I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience. "

" By playing games you can artificially speed up your learning curve to develop the right kind of thought processes. "

" The thing that people associate with expertise, authoritativeness, kind of with a capital 'A,' don't correlate very well with who's actually good at making predictions. "

" Well, you know, you're not going to have 86 percent of Congress voted out of office. "

" Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press. "

" You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects. "

" We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup. "

" Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election. "

" If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy. "

" You don't want to treat any one person as oracular. "