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" When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen. "

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" I've just always been a bit of a dork. "

" I have the same friends and the same bad habits. "

" Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election. "

" People attach too much importance to intangibles like heart, desire and clutch hitting. "

" I'm a pro-horserace guy. "

" If you aren't taking a representative sample, you won't get a representative snapshot. "

" Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in its entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or 13-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next Twilight movie. "

" First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views. "

" Every four years in the presidential election, some new precedent is broken. "

" If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring. "

" If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy. "

" Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak. "

" Walk rate is probably the area in which a pitcher has the most room to improve, but a rate that high is tough to overcome. "

" A lot of journalism wants to have what they call objectivity without them having a commitment to pursuing the truth, but that doesn't work. Objectivity requires belief in and a commitment toward pursuing the truth - having an object outside of our personal point of view. "

" I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve. "

" Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public. "

" You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast. "

" I guess I don't like the people in politics very much, to be blunt. "

" Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much. "

" The thing that people associate with expertise, authoritativeness, kind of with a capital 'A,' don't correlate very well with who's actually good at making predictions. "

" I love South American food, and I haven't really been down there. I really need a vacation. "

" You get steely nerves playing poker. "

" Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline. "

" I don't think you should limit what you read. "

" You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects. "

" The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times, and so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before. "

" In politics people build whole reputations off of getting one thing right. "

" A lot of the time nothing happens in a day. "

" I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil. "

" People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it. "