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" I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve. "

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" When you get into statistical analysis, you don't really expect to achieve fame. Or to become an Internet meme. Or be parodied by 'The Onion' - or be the subject of a cartoon in 'The New Yorker.' I guess I'm kind of an outlier there. "

" I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.' "

" I have to think about how to not spread myself too thin. It's a really great problem to have. "

" The thing that people associate with expertise, authoritativeness, kind of with a capital 'A,' don't correlate very well with who's actually good at making predictions. "

" In politics people build whole reputations off of getting one thing right. "

" If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring. "

" Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much. "

" I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though. "

" We want to get 80%-85% of predictions right, not 100%. Or else we calibrated our estimates in the wrong way. "

" Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge. "

" I have the same friends and the same bad habits. "

" People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them. "

" The problem is that when polls are wrong, they tend to be wrong in the same direction. If they miss in New Hampshire, for instance, they all miss on the same mistake. "

" Walk rate is probably the area in which a pitcher has the most room to improve, but a rate that high is tough to overcome. "

" We're not that much smarter than we used to be, even though we have much more information - and that means the real skill now is learning how to pick out the useful information from all this noise. "

" In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it. "

" Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in its entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or 13-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next Twilight movie. "

" If you aren't taking a representative sample, you won't get a representative snapshot. "

" I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over. "

" When you try to predict future E.R.A.'s with past E.R.A.'s, you're making a mistake. "

" Well the way we perceive accuracy and what accuracy is statistically are really two different things. "

" We are living our lives more online and you need to have different ways to capture that. "

" People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it. "

" I love South American food, and I haven't really been down there. I really need a vacation. "

" I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs. "

" I guess I don't like the people in politics very much, to be blunt. "

" A lot of things can't be modeled very well. "

" The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are. "

" All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to. "

" People attach too much importance to intangibles like heart, desire and clutch hitting. "