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" We must become more comfortable with probability and uncertainty. "

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" It's a little strange to become a kind of symbol of a whole type of analysis. "

" People attach too much importance to intangibles like heart, desire and clutch hitting. "

" When you get into statistical analysis, you don't really expect to achieve fame. Or to become an Internet meme. Or be parodied by 'The Onion' - or be the subject of a cartoon in 'The New Yorker.' I guess I'm kind of an outlier there. "

" I have to think about how to not spread myself too thin. It's a really great problem to have. "

" The key to making a good forecast is not in limiting yourself to quantitative information. "

" If you aren't taking a representative sample, you won't get a representative snapshot. "

" Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public. "

" I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs. "

" We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup. "

" The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times, and so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before. "

" There's always the risk that there are unknown unknowns. "

" Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election. "

" If you have reason to think that yesterday's forecast went wrong, there is no glory in sticking to it. "

" We're not that much smarter than we used to be, even though we have much more information - and that means the real skill now is learning how to pick out the useful information from all this noise. "

" I've just always been a bit of a dork. "

" Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline. "

" I guess I don't like the people in politics very much, to be blunt. "

" You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects. "

" When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen. "

" I love South American food, and I haven't really been down there. I really need a vacation. "

" Well the way we perceive accuracy and what accuracy is statistically are really two different things. "

" I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve. "

" Success makes you less intimidated by things. "

" I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts. "

" You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast. "

" The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are. "

" The problem is that when polls are wrong, they tend to be wrong in the same direction. If they miss in New Hampshire, for instance, they all miss on the same mistake. "

" If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring. "

" People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is. "

" Midterm elections can be dreadfully boring, unfortunately. "