Get QuoteDark Inspirational Quotes App

" Well, you know, you're not going to have 86 percent of Congress voted out of office. "

Related Quotes:

" Voters memories will fade some. "

" A lot of news is just entertainment masquerading as news. "

" I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil. "

" Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak. "

" Success makes you less intimidated by things. "

" To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance. "

" We want to get 80%-85% of predictions right, not 100%. Or else we calibrated our estimates in the wrong way. "

" I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week. "

" The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times, and so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before. "

" Midterm elections can be dreadfully boring, unfortunately. "

" Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press. "

" When you try to predict future E.R.A.'s with past E.R.A.'s, you're making a mistake. "

" I think punditry serves no purpose. "

" Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him. "

" You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast. "

" The key to making a good forecast is not in limiting yourself to quantitative information. "

" People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them. "

" On average, people should be more skeptical when they see numbers. They should be more willing to play around with the data themselves. "

" Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in its entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or 13-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next Twilight movie. "

" If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't. "

" Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge. "

" I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.' "

" If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring. "

" Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much. "

" All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to. "

" I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though. "

" People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it. "

" There's always the risk that there are unknown unknowns. "

" Every four years in the presidential election, some new precedent is broken. "

" I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs. "