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" In baseball you have terrific data and you can be a lot more creative with it. "

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" Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him. "

" I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts. "

" Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline. "

" Well, you know, you're not going to have 86 percent of Congress voted out of office. "

" I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil. "

" The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are. "

" I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs. "

" Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak. "

" By playing games you can artificially speed up your learning curve to develop the right kind of thought processes. "

" On average, people should be more skeptical when they see numbers. They should be more willing to play around with the data themselves. "

" I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though. "

" People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them. "

" To be a very, very minor, eighth-tier celebrity, you realize, 'Hey, celebrities are just like us.' "

" It's a little strange to become a kind of symbol of a whole type of analysis. "

" I'm not trying to do anything too tricky. "

" Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election. "

" We must become more comfortable with probability and uncertainty. "

" Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge. "

" If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring. "

" If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy. "

" When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen. "

" We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup. "

" We want to get 80%-85% of predictions right, not 100%. Or else we calibrated our estimates in the wrong way. "

" I love South American food, and I haven't really been down there. I really need a vacation. "

" First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views. "

" If you aren't taking a representative sample, you won't get a representative snapshot. "

" When you get into statistical analysis, you don't really expect to achieve fame. Or to become an Internet meme. Or be parodied by 'The Onion' - or be the subject of a cartoon in 'The New Yorker.' I guess I'm kind of an outlier there. "

" You don't want to treat any one person as oracular. "

" Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense. "

" I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience. "