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" I'm not trying to do anything too tricky. "

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" Midterm elections can be dreadfully boring, unfortunately. "

" Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline. "

" By playing games you can artificially speed up your learning curve to develop the right kind of thought processes. "

" Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge. "

" The problem is that when polls are wrong, they tend to be wrong in the same direction. If they miss in New Hampshire, for instance, they all miss on the same mistake. "

" We are living our lives more online and you need to have different ways to capture that. "

" I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though. "

" Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in its entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or 13-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next Twilight movie. "

" Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election. "

" Every four years in the presidential election, some new precedent is broken. "

" I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.' "

" If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't. "

" It's a little strange to become a kind of symbol of a whole type of analysis. "

" I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts. "

" I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week. "

" The thing that people associate with expertise, authoritativeness, kind of with a capital 'A,' don't correlate very well with who's actually good at making predictions. "

" I guess I don't like the people in politics very much, to be blunt. "

" A lot of things can't be modeled very well. "

" We must become more comfortable with probability and uncertainty. "

" You don't want to treat any one person as oracular. "

" Success makes you less intimidated by things. "

" I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil. "

" All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to. "

" I love South American food, and I haven't really been down there. I really need a vacation. "

" First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views. "

" Well, you know, you're not going to have 86 percent of Congress voted out of office. "

" When you try to predict future E.R.A.'s with past E.R.A.'s, you're making a mistake. "

" If you have reason to think that yesterday's forecast went wrong, there is no glory in sticking to it. "

" Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak. "

" A lot of journalism wants to have what they call objectivity without them having a commitment to pursuing the truth, but that doesn't work. Objectivity requires belief in and a commitment toward pursuing the truth - having an object outside of our personal point of view. "