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" I prefer more to kind of show people different things than tell them 'oh, here's what you should believe' and, over time, you can build up a rapport with your audience. "

Nate Silver

You

Time

People

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" People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them. "

" In politics people build whole reputations off of getting one thing right. "

" A lot of journalism wants to have what they call objectivity without them having a commitment to pursuing the truth, but that doesn't work. Objectivity requires belief in and a commitment toward pursuing the truth - having an object outside of our personal point of view. "

" First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views. "

" A lot of the time nothing happens in a day. "

" On average, people should be more skeptical when they see numbers. They should be more willing to play around with the data themselves. "

Nate Silver

Data

Play

" All I know is that I have way more stuff that I want to write about than I possibly have time to. "

Nate Silver

Time

Know

" The problem is that when polls are wrong, they tend to be wrong in the same direction. If they miss in New Hampshire, for instance, they all miss on the same mistake. "

" We're not that much smarter than we used to be, even though we have much more information - and that means the real skill now is learning how to pick out the useful information from all this noise. "

" Walk rate is probably the area in which a pitcher has the most room to improve, but a rate that high is tough to overcome. "

" We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup. "

" To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance. "

" We want to get 80%-85% of predictions right, not 100%. Or else we calibrated our estimates in the wrong way. "

" Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak. "

" You can build a statistical model and that's all well and good, but if you're dealing with a new type of financial instrument, for example, or a new type of situation - then the choices you're making are pretty arbitrary in a lot of respects. "

" I have to make sure that I make good choices and that if I put my name on it, it's a high-quality endeavor and that I have time to be a human being. "

" Race is still the No. 1 determinant in every election. "

" People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is. "

" I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week. "

" When you get into statistical analysis, you don't really expect to achieve fame. Or to become an Internet meme. Or be parodied by 'The Onion' - or be the subject of a cartoon in 'The New Yorker.' I guess I'm kind of an outlier there. "

" Success makes you less intimidated by things. "

" Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much. "

" Whenever you have dynamic interactions between 300 million people and the American economy acting in really complex ways, that introduces a degree of almost chaos theory to the system, in a literal sense. "

" Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public. "

" I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over. "

Nate Silver

Think

Feel

" Well the way we perceive accuracy and what accuracy is statistically are really two different things. "

" A lot of things can't be modeled very well. "

" I don't think you should limit what you read. "

" I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics. "

" We must become more comfortable with probability and uncertainty. "

Nate Silver

Become

Uncertainty