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" I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts. "
Nate Silver
Think
Market
Space
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" I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over. "
Nate Silver
Like
Think
Feel
" If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring. "
Nate Silver
Yourself
Boring
Data
" We are living our lives more online and you need to have different ways to capture that. "
Nate Silver
Living
You
Online
" A lot of news is just entertainment masquerading as news. "
Nate Silver
Entertainment
Just
News
" Walk rate is probably the area in which a pitcher has the most room to improve, but a rate that high is tough to overcome. "
Nate Silver
Tough
Improve
Walk
" If you aren't taking a representative sample, you won't get a representative snapshot. "
Nate Silver
Representative
You
Get
" First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views. "
Nate Silver
Politics
Think
Political
" There's always the risk that there are unknown unknowns. "
Nate Silver
Unknowns
Unknown
Always
" A lot of things can't be modeled very well. "
Nate Silver
Very
Modeled
Lot
" People attach too much importance to intangibles like heart, desire and clutch hitting. "
Nate Silver
People
Like
Heart
" We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup. "
Nate Silver
Where
World
Beats
" Every four years in the presidential election, some new precedent is broken. "
Nate Silver
New
Years
Some
" I'm a pro-horserace guy. "
Nate Silver
Guy
" Voters memories will fade some. "
Nate Silver
Some
Fade
Memories
" To be a very, very minor, eighth-tier celebrity, you realize, 'Hey, celebrities are just like us.' "
Nate Silver
Like
You
Celebrity
" I think punditry serves no purpose. "
Nate Silver
Purpose
I Think
Think
" We must become more comfortable with probability and uncertainty. "
Nate Silver
Become
More
Uncertainty
" I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.' "
Nate Silver
Experiment
Think
Behavior
" The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are. "
Nate Silver
Economists
More
Most
" The key to making a good forecast is not in limiting yourself to quantitative information. "
Nate Silver
Making
Yourself
Key
" Almost everyone's instinct is to be overconfident and read way too much into a hot or cold streak. "
Nate Silver
Much
Cold
Hot
" A lot of the time nothing happens in a day. "
Nate Silver
Nothing
Lot
Day
" A lot of journalism wants to have what they call objectivity without them having a commitment to pursuing the truth, but that doesn't work. Objectivity requires belief in and a commitment toward pursuing the truth - having an object outside of our personal point of view. "
Nate Silver
Truth
Commitment
Work
" The thing that people associate with expertise, authoritativeness, kind of with a capital 'A,' don't correlate very well with who's actually good at making predictions. "
Nate Silver
Expertise
Good
Kind
" Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much. "
Nate Silver
Much
You
Tell
" I don't think you should limit what you read. "
Nate Silver
Limit
You
Think
" I'm not trying to do anything too tricky. "
Nate Silver
Anything
Trying
Tricky
" People still don't appreciate how ephemeral success is. "
Nate Silver
Success Is
People
Appreciate
" To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance. "
Nate Silver
Yourself
Find
Know
" Actually, one of the better indicators historically of how well the stock market will do is just a Gallup poll, when you ask Americans if you think it's a good time to invest in stocks, except it goes the opposite direction of what you would expect. When the markets going up, it in fact makes it more prone toward decline. "
Nate Silver
Better
Good
Direction