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" We're living in a world where Google beats Gallup. "

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" If there's a major foreign policy event, the President gets on TV, the Congress doesn't. "

" To the extent that you can find ways where you're making predictions, there's no substitute for testing yourself on real-world situations that you don't know the answer to in advance. "

" Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge. "

" It's a little strange to become a kind of symbol of a whole type of analysis. "

" I have to think about how to not spread myself too thin. It's a really great problem to have. "

" I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over. "

" There's always the risk that there are unknown unknowns. "

" Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in its entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or 13-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next Twilight movie. "

" I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics. "

" I think punditry serves no purpose. "

" A lot of news is just entertainment masquerading as news. "

" If I had a spreadsheet on my computer, it looked like I was busy. "

" On average, people should be more skeptical when they see numbers. They should be more willing to play around with the data themselves. "

" I think a lot of journal articles should really be blogs. "

" We must become more comfortable with probability and uncertainty. "

" We want to get 80%-85% of predictions right, not 100%. Or else we calibrated our estimates in the wrong way. "

" If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring. "

" Well the way we perceive accuracy and what accuracy is statistically are really two different things. "

" When you try to predict future E.R.A.'s with past E.R.A.'s, you're making a mistake. "

" The public is even more pessimistic about the economy than even the most bearish economists are. "

" People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them. "

" Every four years in the presidential election, some new precedent is broken. "

" I guess I don't like the people in politics very much, to be blunt. "

" I actually buy the paper version of The New York Times maybe once or twice a week. "

" I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.' "

" Caesar recognized the omens, but he didn't believe they applied to him. "

" The key to making a good forecast is not in limiting yourself to quantitative information. "

" I view my role now as providing more of a macro-level skepticism, rather than saying this poll is good or this poll is evil. "

" You get steely nerves playing poker. "

" I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts. "