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" When you try to predict future E.R.A.'s with past E.R.A.'s, you're making a mistake. "

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" I've just always been a bit of a dork. "

" I've become invested with this symbolic power. It really does transcend what I'm actually doing and what I actually deserve. "

" Basically, books were a luxury item before the printing press. "

" If you aren't taking a representative sample, you won't get a representative snapshot. "

" I don't play fantasy baseball anymore now because it's too much work, and I feel like I have to hold myself up to such a high standard. I'm pretty serious about my fantasy football, though. "

" First of all, I think it's odd that people who cover politics wouldn't have any political views. "

" We are living our lives more online and you need to have different ways to capture that. "

" A lot of journalism wants to have what they call objectivity without them having a commitment to pursuing the truth, but that doesn't work. Objectivity requires belief in and a commitment toward pursuing the truth - having an object outside of our personal point of view. "

" Distinguishing the signal from the noise requires both scientific knowledge and self-knowledge. "

" There's always the risk that there are unknown unknowns. "

" I have the same friends and the same bad habits. "

" We want to get 80%-85% of predictions right, not 100%. Or else we calibrated our estimates in the wrong way. "

" Every day, three times per second, we produce the equivalent of the amount of data that the Library of Congress has in its entire print collection, right? But most of it is like cat videos on YouTube or 13-year-olds exchanging text messages about the next Twilight movie. "

" Any one game in baseball doesn't tell you that much, just as any one poll doesn't tell you that much. "

" When human judgment and big data intersect there are some funny things that happen. "

" If you're keeping yourself in the bubble and only looking at your own data or only watching the TV that fits your agenda then it gets boring. "

" Remember, the Congress doesn't get as many opportunities to make an impression with the public. "

" Success makes you less intimidated by things. "

" You don't want to influence the same system you are trying to forecast. "

" The Protestant Reformation had a lot to do with the printing press, where Martin Luther's theses were reproduced about 250,000 times, and so you had widespread dissemination of ideas that hadn't circulated in the mainstream before. "

" I think there's space in the market for a half-dozen kind of polling analysts. "

" I don't think that somebody who is observing or predicting behavior should also be participating in the 'experiment.' "

" I don't think you should limit what you read. "

" I think people feel like there are all these things in our lives that we don't really have control over. "

" Midterm elections can be dreadfully boring, unfortunately. "

" I was looking for something like baseball, where there's a lot of data and the competition was pretty low. That's when I discovered politics. "

" People gravitate toward information that implies a happier outlook for them. "

" People attach too much importance to intangibles like heart, desire and clutch hitting. "

" People don't have a good intuitive sense of how to weigh new information in light of what they already know. They tend to overrate it. "

" By playing games you can artificially speed up your learning curve to develop the right kind of thought processes. "